Summer-like temperatures on the way for the late week

The stubborn upper-level low that has been lingering over Kentucky for much of the week finally began shifting eastward on Wednesday. That movement allowed us to start drying out a bit, although a few scattered storms still developed across Central and Eastern Kentucky—mostly on the backside of the departing system. With more sunshine breaking through, highs climbed into the upper 70s for many spots, marking a noticeable jump in temperatures compared to earlier in the week.

Summer Preview Thursday with Warm Temps and Mugginess

By early Thursday, a warm front will sweep north of the commonwealth setting the stage for one of the warmest days so far this year. Sunshine and a more southerly wind will help temperatures surge into the mid-80s—some spots could even flirt with 90 degrees out in Western Kentucky. Add in rising humidity and Thursday will definitely have a summer-like feel. Despite some decent storm energy available, storm chances look slim though not zero. A cap in the mid-levels (a warm layer of air aloft) should help suppress thunderstorm development in our area, even though storms will be active just off to our west. Most of us should enjoy a pretty toasty and dry day.

Storm Threat Ramps Up Friday — Severe Weather Possible

Friday is shaping up to be a much different story. As a strong system approaches from the northwest, conditions will become ripe for potentially strong to severe thunderstorms later in the day and into the night. While Thursday night’s storm activity to our west may have some influence, current trends point toward a more organized round of storms impacting Kentucky Friday night. A mid-level disturbance will help enhance development, and with no “cap” in place with the environment supportive of damaging winds, large hail, and possibly even isolated tornadoes.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Kentucky under a Level 2 out of 5 risk for severe weather with areas of Northern Kentucky and down the Ohio River in a Level 3 out of 5 risk. Because this threat ramps up during the evening and continues overnight, make sure you have a way to receive weather alerts—especially if you’re heading into the weekend or have outdoor plans.

Weekend Looks Quieter but Not Totally Dry

The front responsible for Friday’s storms will sag south of the region over the weekend and likely stall out. That sets the stage for some calmer conditions overall, but not entirely rain-free. There will still be some low-end chances for isolated showers or a thunderstorm Saturday and Sunday, especially in southern Kentucky. Despite that, both days should feature a good mix of sun and warm temperatures, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80°.

Looking ahead to early next week, expect more warm weather and isolated storms on Monday. Another potentially active system could arrive by Tuesday night into Wednesday, bringing another round of strong storms to monitor.