Shower chances stick around into Wednesday
Even with low pressure moving to our east, moisture and energy on the backside of that system should keep rain and thunder in play mid-week
As expected it turned out to be a bit damp across Central and Eastern Kentucky on Tuesday thanks to a slow moving area of low pressure approaching from the west. We saw some brief heavy downpours from time to time and this should continue to be the case heading into Wednesday. I mentioned in yesterday’s post about how anytime you have an area of low pressure “spinning” right overhead in the spring there can sometimes but a sneaky, low-end storm storm chance and this still looks to be the case through Tuesday evening.
The Storm Prediction Center and NWS both jumped on board with that possible scenario if some instability can get going but the more favored area may be to our south across Tennessee. The overall low-end severe threat should lessen into early Thursday. We are in a Level 1 severe risk (out of 5) for Tuesday evening/night with a few of our far southern counties in a Level 2 risk where the dynamics may be better.
With the area of low pressure just outside of the upper level flow this system will basically drift to the east on Wednesday, which will slow the process of it moving out of our area. With some leftover moisture and energy in place expect more showers on occasion with some thunder possible on Wednesday. It shouldn’t be an all day rain by any stretch with just hit and miss showers. However with the clouds and rain around, afternoon highs will be held in check yet again with temperatures topping out in the low-70s.
Our best day of the week should be Thursday as we’ll be in between systems. Enough dry air should be in place for sunshine to return and a southwest wind should help push afternoon highs into the upper 70s. This should make for some really nice conditions for the opening round of the PGA Championship over at Valhalla near Louisville. Unfortunately that dry weather won’t last as the next storm system increases the rain and storm chances to close out the week as highs remain slightly above average into the upper 70s.
While this weekend doesn’t look like a wash-out by any means, it may be a similar set-up to what we are looking at the next couple of days as some lingering moisture on the backside of the departing system keeps a few showers and storms around on Saturday. The model data is trending a bit drier for Sunday and Monday and they aren’t really synced up with possible scenarios for the rain potential. That being said it appears we’ll see warm temperatures this weekend and into early next week as highs reach the low-80s! We could even see a few spots sneak into the mid-80s if the rain stays away into next week.
ABC 36 HOUR FORECAST
TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered showers and storms. Lows in the upper 50s to around 60 degrees.
WEDNESDAY: More showers, some thunder. Highs in the low-70s.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Showers ending, clearing late. Lows in the mid-50s.
