Not Much Hope For Snow In Near Future...

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Updated: 12/12/2011 9:12 am

Monday, December 12, 2011:  Not Much Hope For Snow In Near Future


Good Monday morning, everybody.  I hope you've had a great weekend as we "ramp up" to the holidays!


We'll have a very quiet start to the workweek, with temperatures rising into the upper 40s under partly sunny skies today.  Sunshine will mix with some thin, high clouds.  We'll remain dry through the evening.


Late tonight, we can't rule out a few sprinkles or light rain showers in far southern or southeastern Kentucky as a very weak disturbance clips the corner of Kentucky near the Virginia border.  Here is the latest WRF forecast for precipitation over the next 24 hours, through the night tonight.  Any of the KY showers would fall late at night as liquid rain.


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Courtesy: Penn State Univ. Dept. of Meteorology



We'll turn slightly milder on Tuesday as highs reach the lower 50s.  Most of the day will be dry, but on Tuesday evening, a warm front will spark a few scattered showers, mainly north of I-64. 

The more widespread, soaking rain will hold off until Thursday when a cold front delivers a widespread band of rainfall during the day.  The rain will spread across Kentucky from west to east on Thursday, and temperatures will be unseasonably mild before it arrives.  Many areas will peak in the upper 50s, with readings near 60 in southern Kentucky at midweek.  Hope for snow will have to wait.  Here's the GFS forecast for precipitation between 7 AM and 1 PM on Thursday.  I've highlighted the freezing line at 850 millibars, which is about 5,000' into the sky and serves as a very general benchmark for the rain / snow line.

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Courtesy: Penn State Univ. Dept. of Meteorology

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Colder air will follow on the heels of that system, dropping highs back into the 40s from Friday through Sunday.

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Before I close, here's a quick update on the flooding situation at Herrington Lake.  The lake is still about 2' above flood stage, and it continues to fall.  You can see the two rises the lake has endured over the past two weeks after a pair of heavy rainfall events.  The LIMITED rainfall over the next three days will continue to help waters to recede.

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Thanks for stopping by the weather blog.  Have a great start to the workweek!

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Geoff

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