More Light Snow Approaching for Tonight / Tues. AM

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Updated: 2/13/2012 9:22 am
Monday, February 13, 2012: Another Round of Light Snow Approaches

Good Monday morning, everybody.  If you visited the weather blog over the weekend, you may have seen Meteorologist Lauren Jones's posts about the next round of wintry weather.  The forecast still generally appears to be on track, with snow sliding east across Arkansas, Missouri and even northern Mississippi this morning. 


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The entire storm system will weaken as it slides east, so we do not expect a major storm out of this.  With that said, several hours of accumulating, light snow are likely, tonight and early on Tuesday.  In general, areas to the north and northwest will receive the most snow, and locations to the south and southeast should see an earlier changeover from snow to sleet and rain.

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Here is our in-house model's forecast for total snowfall, ranging from a trace of snow in southeastern Kentucky to 1/2" in Frankfort, and more to the west.  These numbers were crunched by our Futurecast this morning.

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During the morning on Valentine's Day, milder air will surge north as a warm front slides north from Tennessee into Kentucky.  Light snow will mix with sleet and change to rain early in the morning in southern Kentucky.  By 10 AM, Some sleet and rain will be likely as far north as the Bluegrass Parkway and I-64, but precipitation will be light.  Here is one of the more reasonable-looking short term ensemble member forecasts for precipitation type at 10 AM on Tuesday.  You'll notice that at least in the world of models, the rain / snow line should surge north through the Bluegrass Region by late morning.

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Courtesy: Penn State Univ. Dept. of Meteorology

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Tuesday afternoon will likely feature some drizzle as the most widespread precipitation exits to the east.

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Bottom line: be careful tonight and early on Tuesday as the light snow falls!  It won't last long, and there won't be a whole lot of it, but a fraction of an inch to an inch of snow can cause big problems on the roadways as temperatures hover in the lower 30s!

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I'll have an update at Noon and 12:30, and then Chief Meteorologist Jennifer Schack will have more at 5, 6 and 11.

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Geoff

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