Dry ChristmasCast, & Our Only Hope for the Record

Dry ChristmasCast, & Our Only Hope for the Record

The low pressure system that we wrestled with earlier this week, from a forecasting standpoint, will pass well to the south.
Friday, December 23rd, 2011: A Dry ChristmasCast, and Our Only Hope for the Record

Good Friday morning, everybody.  We've almost made it to Christmas, and travel weather is looking great this weekend.  While it won't be the postcard white Christmas, the weather should not prevent any local travel over the next few days.

Today, we're recovering from yesterday's rain, which has tapered down to drizzle.  The drizzle will stick around through much of the day under thick clouds, and temperatures won't move much.  We will likely see a high around 43 degrees.

Yesterday, 0.37" of rain fell in Lexington, and we remain 0.61" shy of the all-time annual rainfall record.  Here are a few other totals from around the area.


Earlier this week, we wrestled with the low pressure system that would pass our longitude around Christmas morning.  The models have come into good agreement that it will pass well south of the Bluegrass, and even those of you near the Tennessee / Kentucky state line should stay dry on Christmas Day, at least if you're north of the border.

Here is the latest GFS forecast for precip. between 7 AM on Christmas morning and 1 PM.

Courtesy: Penn State Univ. Dept. of Meteorology

If we make a run at the annual precipitation record, our hope at this point is the Monday night / Tuesday storm system.  Most of this will fall as rain, although it may end as a mix of rain and a few snowflakes.  Here is the Canadian model's forecast for Tuesday, from 7 AM to 1 PM.

Many of the other models suppress the system a little farther south, with less precipitation in the Bluegrass Region, but the details remain to be seen.

Have a VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS, and enjoy the holidays with your family and friends.


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